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Accidents · NTSB CEN18LA077 · Final report

Amateur-built VELOCITY XL RG accident near Santa Fe, New Mexico, January 16, 2018

On January 16, 2018 at about 2:35 am local time, a 2003 amateur-built VELOCITY XL RG, registered N787SB, was substantially damaged in an accident during enroute (cruise) near Santa Fe, New Mexico. It was a personal flight under general aviation rules (Part 91). 1 person was seriously injured. The weather was visual conditions (good weather).

The NTSB's probable cause their words, unchanged

The airplane’s inadvertent encounter with unforecasted icing conditions during cruise flight, which resulted in the accumulation of airframe icing, the airplane’s inability to maintain altitude, and a subsequent forced landing on rough terrain.

Source: NTSB aviation accident database, copy made October 5, 2026. Docket and reports at the NTSB.

What the record shows

Date
January 16, 2018 · about 2:35 am local time
Place
Santa Fe, New Mexico · map
Type
Accident
Injuries
1 person was seriously injured.
Weather
visual conditions (good weather)
Aircraft
Amateur-built VELOCITY XL RG NO SERIES, built 2003
Registration
N787SB · no longer on the register · serial 3RX097
Damage
Substantial damage
Flight
Personal flight · general aviation rules (Part 91)

The NTSB's narrative final · quoted from the NTSB record

The pilot was conducting a cross-country flight in night, visual meteorological conditions when he inadvertently entered an area of instrument meteorological conditions (IMC) and icing, and the airplane subsequently began accruing ice. The experimental airplane was not equipped for flight in known icing conditions. The pilot reported to an air traffic controller that the airplane had entered IMC and had accumulated icing. The pilot then saw a 1-ft-diameter, gelatinous supercooled water mass on the windshield, and 5 seconds later, the entire windshield became crystalized with ice. Several seconds later, the airplane entered an uncommanded dive. The pilot was able to recover from the dive, but he was unable to maintain altitude and declared an emergency with air traffic control. Subsequently, he conducted a forced landing on rough terrain, which resulted in substantial damage to the fuselage and left elevator. Ice accumulation was observed on the airframe at the accident site, and several pieces of ice were observed along the wreckage debris path. The observed ice accumulation would have precluded smooth airflow over the wing during the flight and resulted in degraded performance. Meteorological data indicated that the airplane flew into an area of unforecast icing conditions. It is likely the airplane entered supercooled liquid water clouds, which resulted in a sudden accretion of airframe ice. Supplemental satellite weather data indicated a local potential for icing at the accident site; however, without any corroborating pilot reports of icing, an advisory was not issued for the area around the accident site. The pilot stated that he did not review weather data before departure or while en route; however, even if he had he reviewed weather data, it would not have shown that icing conditions were present or forecast.

The complete narrative as the NTSB published it. The NTSB's docket holds the report as a PDF and any photographs, statements and other documents from the investigation.

The factual record from the NTSB's investigation tables, in plain English

What happened, in order

  1. VFR encounter with IMC during enroute (cruise)
  2. Structural icing during enroute (cruise) defining event
  3. Off-field or emergency landing during enroute (descent)

The NTSB's findings

  • cause Environmental issues › Physical environment › Object/animal/substance › Snow/ice › Effect on equipment
  • cause Environmental issues › Physical environment › Object/animal/substance › Snow/ice › Ability to respond/compensate
  • Aircraft › Aircraft oper/perf/capability › Performance/control parameters › Altitude › Attain/maintain not possible

Pilot

  • Certificate: private
  • Ratings: single-engine land; instrument: airplane
  • Flight time: 1,500 hours in all; 150 in this make and model
  • Last flight review: August 1, 2017
  • Medical certificate: Class 3 (without waivers/limitations)
  • Seat: left
  • Injury: serious injuries

The aircraft

  • Airframe total time: 600 hours
  • Last inspection: condition inspection, August 1, 2017; 25 hours since
  • Maximum gross weight: 2,900 lb
  • Seats: 4
  • Landing gear: retractable
  • Engine: Lycoming IO-540-K1G5D (piston); 500 hours total

The flight

  • Departed from: LBL Liberal KS
  • Destination: SAF Santa Fe NM
  • Flight plan: VFR then IFR

Weather at the time

  • Light: night, dark
  • Wind: from 130° at 21 knots, gusting 27
  • Visibility: 10 statute miles
  • Sky: overcast at 2,000 ft
  • Temperature: 27°F (-3°C), dew point 21°F (-6°C)
  • Altimeter: 30.32 inHg
  • Observation at 2:53 am from SAF, 7 miles away

Injuries

FatalSeriousMinorNone
Flight crew1

Documents from the investigation the NTSB's docket: the evidence folder behind the report

14 documents, released by the NTSB on October 21, 2020. View them here, or download them; the NTSB redacts some personal details before release, and this site shows the NTSB's own titles rather than its file names.

#DocumentWhat it is
1 Pilot/operator Aircraft Accident Report, NTSB Form 6120.1 PDF, 13 pages View Download
2 radar Track Data Plots PDF, 3 pages View Download
3 radar Track Data (Excerpts) data file Download
4 Memorandum of Conversation (FAA Inspector Ken Hand) PDF, 1 page View Download
5 Weather Factual Report PDF, 40 pages View Download
6 Weather Attachment 1 GIF file Download
7 Weather Attachment 2 GIF file Download
8 Weather Attachment 3 PDF, 2 pages View Download
9 Weather Attachment 4 video View Download
10 Weather Attachment 5 video View Download
11 Weather Attachment 6 PDF, 6 pages View Download
12 Weather Attachment 7 PDF, 4 pages View Download
13 Weather Attachment 8 GZ file Download
14 Weather Attachment 9 PDF, 6 pages View Download

The same docket at the NTSB · documents without a copy here are fetched from the NTSB when you open them.

Everything on this page comes from the NTSB's public records. The narrative, probable cause and findings are the NTSB's own words; the coded tables behind the report are written out in plain English, with pilots' ages, home towns and medical details left out. The documents and photographs are the NTSB's docket, shown as the NTSB released them. This site's own text never names anyone involved. A preliminary report can change; the final report usually follows one to two years later, and the page is refreshed when it does.